Steps of Environment Analysis
Introduction A
strategist is required to understand all the intricacies of external environment in which an organization operates as well as the internal operations of an organization before a strategy can be effectively formulated and implemented. An organization’s environment consists of two parts: (1) The macro environmental dimensions i.e. economic, social, technological, global and political; and (2) The micro environment which refers mainly to the industry within which it operates ( for multi-business firms, the industry is usually considered in the activity in which the firm generates the majority of its revenue).
Process of Environment Analysis The process consists of four sequential
steps: (1) scanning, (2) Monitoring, (3) Forecasting, and (4) Assessment
(1) Scanning Being
the first step in the process of environment analysis, scanning involves general surveillance of all environmental factors and their interactions in order to (a) Identify early signals of possible environmental changes, and (b) Detect environmental change already under way. ()Scanning
is ambiguous environmental analysis activity. ()The potentially relevant data for scanning
Cont… The fundamental challenges for analysis in
scanning is, therefore, to make sense out of vague, ambiguous, and unconnected data.
(2) Monitoring Monitoring
involves tracking the environmental trends, sequences of events, or streams of activities. It frequently involves following signals or indicators unearthed during environmental scanning. The purpose of monitoring is to assemble sufficient data to discern whether certain trends and emerging. Thus, as monitoring progresses, the data turn frequently from imprecise to precise.
Cont… Three outcomes emerge out of monitoring: (a) A specific description of environmental
trends and patterns to be forecast; (b) The identification of trends for further monitoring, and (c) The identification of areas for further scanning. ()These
outputs become inputs for forecasting. They will also cause for further scanning and monitoring.
(3) Forecasting Scanning and monitoring provide a picture of
what has already taken place and what is happening. Strategic decision-making, however, requires a future orientation. Naturally, forecasting is an essential element in environmental analysis. Forecasting is concerned with developing plausible of the direction, scope, and intensity of environmental change. It tries layout the evolutionary path of anticipated change. For example, how long will it take the new technology to reach the market place? Are current lifestyle trends likely to continue ?
Cont… These kinds of questions provide the grist
for forecasting efforts. Unlike scanning and monitoring, forecasting is well focused and is much more deductive and complex activity. This is so because the focus, scope and goals of forecasting are more specific than the earlier two stages of environmental analysis.
(4) Assessment Scanning, monitoring, forecasting are not
ends in themselves. Unless their outputs are assessed to determine implications for the organization’s current and potential strategies, scanning, monitoring and forecasting simply provide ‘nice-to-know’ information. Assessment involves identifying and evaluating how and why current projected environmental changes affect or will affect strategic management of the organization.
Cont… In
assessment, the frame of reference moves from understanding the environment – the focus of scanning, monitoring and forecasting – to identifying what the understanding means for the organization. Assessment, therefore, tries to answer questions such as what are the key issues presented by the environment, and what are the implications of such issues for the organization ?
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